The Rugby Championship Round 5: Argentina vs New Zealand – Tips, Odds & Predictions

November 28 at 7.45 pm – McDonald Jones Stadium, NSW

The 2020 Rugby Championship has been the gift that keeps on giving. Predicted to be a relatively easy tournament for the All Blacks to take out, both Australia and Argentina have outperformed expectations and a draw between the two last week put all three teams level on six points with just two weeks to go in the tournament. The Pumas, a rank outsider heading into the tri-nations series, are the only side with two matches left to play, and with a significantly superior point difference to the Wallabies a win here would put them in the box seat to secure an historic series win.

And yet for all their good form, the All Blacks will still head into this game as a comfortable favourite to win it and, courtesy of their own point differential, the tournament as a result. They have shown they are far from the unstoppable force they once were, but on talent they are still deserved favourites heading into this one.

As mentioned, the All Blacks are still the far superior side, but given how the Pumas have been playing they deserve a little more respect from the betting sites.

Argentina +17.5 at $1.95

We don’t expect them to win, but if they can repeat something resembling their last couple of performances they can cover this line.

Argentina +8.5 first half at $1.83

Using similar logic to the above, the Pumas can keep this one tight enough to cover this line.

Argentina +10.5 at $2.62

You can find a little more value by creating your own line, and Argentina to keep the margin to ten points or less at this price looks like value.

Head to Head Record

• Played 30
• Argentina has won 1
• New Zealand has won 28
• 1 draw

Last time they played

• Rugby Championship 2020 Round 3: New Zealand 15-25 Argentina

The All Blacks have had a couple of weeks to mull over the form that saw them lose first to Australia, and then to Argentina for the first time in history, in successive weeks following a dominant 43-5 win over the Wallabies to start the Rugby Championship. Plenty of questions have been raised about the team, but as that 38-point Round 1 win showed, they are clearly the best team in this tournament. Argentina have been extremely impressive – many didn’t expect them to win a game, let alone be in with a chance of winning the Rugby Championship in its entirety – and may be able to hang around for a while, but with the whips cracking the better team should get the job done.

Bet on New Zealand