The AFL Premiership is coming down to the pointy end of the season, as teams inside the Top 8 jockey for position during the Finals series to eventually win the AFL Grand Final. As we know, the AFL has a Top 8 system, however, the teams in positions 1 to 4 have the added advantage of being able to lose one game, however, remain in contention for the greatest prize in the AFL, a Grand Final win. For the teams in positions 5 to 8, one loss and you are out. This has a big impact on the probability (and odds) of winning the AFL Grand Final flag and history shows Top 4 sides take out the Grand Final more often than not.
When determining which sports betting sites to recommend to you, our experienced panel of sports betting experts engage in extensive research examining the pros and cons of each online bookie to present you with a group of the best sites for you to choose from to place your winning 2021 AFL Grand Final wagers. The results are in! – and any one of these great betting sites will assist you in getting the best bang for your AFL Grand Final betting buck; PlayUp, Winnersbet or Bet365.
However, another of our recommended betting sites may offer more to you personally and fit more selectively with your individual punting style. Bet365, for example, offers a range of specialised betting markets, such as odds on the best chances to win the Norm Smith Medal (awarded to the best player on the ground in the AFL Grand Final) or really unique betting markets such as which two teams will make it through to the ‘big dance’ (for example, if you think that the Geelong Cats and Melbourne Demons will play off in the AFL Grand Final, you’ll receive excellent odds of $6.50 for your trouble). Bet365 also back up their unique and boutique betting markets with a great AFL early payout option feature to secure your wins and limit any potential damage on your losses.
If a betting site with the most betting markets on the greatest number of sports is more your thing, Unibet might be your best choice, or those punters who prefer a nice, clean and minimalistic graphic interface with easy-to-navigate design features and quick sign-up over all else could opt for TopSport. There is no right and wrong in choosing a great betting site, and at Betting Top10 Australia, we understand everyone’s needs and preferences are all different. Consequently, it is our pleasure to give you the choice of simply the best quality sites out there.
AFL historians and statistics nerds (like us) will tell you that finishing in the Top 4 of the AFL Ladder at the end of the home-and-away season is key to winning the Grand Final, after a securing a double chance in the finals. However, less well-known is how other teams such as the 2016 Western Bulldogs survived cut-throat September footy week-in/week-out win to ‘big dance’ from outside the Top 4. With that in mind, let’s examine 5 of the best chances to emerge victorious in the AFL Grand Final in 2021, their odds and why they can succeed; Geelong Cats $4.00 – Play Up $4.20 – Bet 365 A lot will have to go right for the Cats for them to lift the Premiership Cup in 2021. While they will be highly motivated after losing the AFL Grand Final to Richmond in 2020, Geelong will need to keep their best 22 on the park if they are stay in contention. A recent injury to Jeremy Cameron has highlighted that factor. However, Geelong’s strength is in their adaptability to any situation, any personnel changes and any venue and travel alterations. This is pandemic footy, and the agile Cats have sussed out what it takes to succeed in these strange times. Tough to beat. Western Bulldogs $4.25 – Play Up $4.20 – Bet 365 After a few years of underachieving after their shock 2016 AFL Grand Final win, the Western Bulldogs have finally learnt how to win as a team without depending too heavily on one or two outright superstars. However, make no mistake, the Bulldogs have arguably the game’s best player in Marcus Bontempelli in their line-up. In 2021, we have discovered that Bontempelli has a group of teammates around him that can pile the points on any team on their day. They clearly have the competition’s most impressive and deepest midfield group, and a very creative and an under-rated defence. Remember, AFL Grand Finals are usually won on great defensive efforts. Melbourne Demons $4.50 – Play Up $4.50 – Bet 365 Influential ruckman Max Gawn could literally win the Demons the AFL Grand Final on his sheer will and talent. If the Demons get through to the AFL Grand Final, you could do a lot worse than bet on Gawn to win the Norm Smith Medal. He is that good. However, in 2021, Gawn is knocking the ball down to a gaggle of talented players like Christian Petracca and Clayton Oliver whose creativity with ball in hand is producing a lot of space in their forward 50, and their scoring opportunities are way up in 2021. For an opponent to close Melbourne down in the finals may be well be impossible. The Demons will need to be out-scored if they are to be beaten. Port Adelaide Power $8.00 – Play Up $8.00 – Bet 365 If the 2021 AFL Grand Final is moved away from Melbourne for any reason, look for the odds on the Power to win to plummet. Port will need to overcome their traditionally poor record in Melbourne and the MCG in particular if they are to win the ‘big dance’ in 2021. However, Port have come good at the right time of the year and the Power’s vice-captain, Ollie Wines, is enjoying a career-best season and inspiring a group of youngsters like Rising Star nominee, Miles Bergman, who are fearless and have zero experience of the Power’s previous finals heartaches. Brisbane Lions $9.00 – Play Up $9.00 – Bet 365 A couple of months back, whilst in the middle of a great mid-year run, Brisbane was firmly ensconced in the Top 2 and home finals footy looked like a fait accompli. However, since then the Lions have lost a few matches against lesser opponents that they should have won. Those frailties aside, Brisbane are still a great team and can beat any team in the league if they are ‘on song’. That ability to not only mix it with the best teams, but blow them away on occasion makes the Lions the best dangerous ‘floaters’ in the AFL Finals from outside the Top 4 and a team that others would prefer to avoid.
Bet on the AFL Grand Final – 1×2 – (Win, draw or loss) – Punt on your choice of result for the AFL Grand Final (win, lose or draw) in ‘1×2’ betting. This type of bet suits punters who simply like to pick the winner or loser to win a few dollars and boast of their predictions skills with their mates and colleagues. Over/Under AFL Grand Final Betting – A over/under bet is a bet on the AFL Grand Final to finish with a certain amount of points or not. For example, if the betting site sets the figure at 125 and Richmond defeat Geelong 80-46, then ‘over’ is paid out. If the score is 80-44, ‘under’ is paid out. AFL Grand Final Half-Time Betting – AFL punters can bet at halftime with a selection of reset betting odds, including 1×2 bets, overs/unders, most disposals and much more. Winning Margins – Select the correct AFL Grand Final result as well as the correct winning margin. For example, if you believe the Magpies will beat the Giants in the AFL Grand Final, you may also correctly predict how many points will separate the two teams at the end of full-time. If you predict Collingwood will win by a margin of 1-39 points, select that option, or if you think that the Magpies are much stronger team than the Giants, select them by 40+ points. AFL Grand Final Betting Specials Every AFL Grand Final is a unique event in-itself, with a selection of special betting markets available, for you to put your personalised betting strategy into play; Norm Smith Medal Betting – Bet on the player who will be voted the best-and-fairest player in the AFL Grand Final. In-play Betting – Place bets on the AFL Grand Final live at changing odds in real time. Double Chance Betting – An AFL Grand Final double chance bet comprises covering two-of-the-three possible Grand Final outcomes (lose, win or draw) all in one single bet. First Goal Scorer (team or player) – Punters may predict which team, or player will score the first goal in the AFL Grand Final. Big wins can result due to the excellent betting odds on offer. First Points Scorer (team or player) – Punters may predict which player or team will score the first points of the AFL Grand Final, or of each half, or quarter. AFL Grand Final Betting Outrights Head-to-Head: Head-to-Head betting is the easiest and most accessible way to have a bet on the AFL Grand Final. Predict which team will win the game and if they win, you do too. Most AFL Grand Final Disposals: Bet on which player will collect the most possessions in this year’s AFL Grand Final. Top AFL Grand Final Goal scorer: Punt on which player will score the most goals in this year’s AFL Grand Final.
Here at BettingTop10, before each AFL Grand Final we undertake extensive research on which of the betting sites offer the best odds on each particular betting market. For example, the best head-to-head AFL Grand Final Winner’s odds may be found on a different betting site to the best Norm Smith Medal betting odds. Given those types of possibilities, our recommended AFL Grand Final betting strategy is to; Get the best betting odds by registering with more than one betting site. By giving yourself more choice you in the available betting markets, you’ll receive an increased opportunity to take advantage of discrepancies in the AFL Grand Final odds, and always receive the best betting value possible. AFL Grand Final Date – History & Previous Winners Usually, September is crunch time in the AFL. Usually, each September, AFL teams finishing in the Top 8 ladder positions play in the AFL Finals, eventually deciding the final two teams to play in the game’s showpiece event, the AFL Grand Final – usually played on the last Saturday in September (on rare occasions played on the first Saturday in October). Most Successful AFL Grand Final Winning Teams Essendon Bombers & Carlton Blues – Both 16 wins Collingwood Magpies – 15 wins Hawthorn Hawks – 13 wins Melbourne Demons – 12 wins Richmond Tigers – 12 wins Start date AFL Finals 2021 – 3 September 2021 (although the AFL is considering a move to scrap the traditional pre-finals bye meaning that the finals may begin as early as 28 August 2021. A decision is expected soon). AFL Grand Final Date & Time 2021 – 25 September 2021 – 2.30pm AFL Grand Final 2021 Venue – The AFL Grand Final is expected to return to the Melbourne Cricket Ground in 2021 (pending health restrictions).
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